Scores just now· Odds 2h ago500 credits ← ScheduleArgentina v Switzerland
1–1Quarter-final · M100··Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City(2080 v 1860 Elo)
Model vs Market
Model Market
Synthetic market (9 books)
model-derived — add a key for real pricesArgentina
1.35
best at Pinnacle · eu · 74%
Draw
5.39
best at Sportsbet · au · 19%
Switzerland
10.73
best at Pinnacle · eu · 9%
Market agreement (de-vigged, band = book spread)
Head-to-head & form
Last meeting: 1-0 on 2014-07-01.
Switzerland — last 5
DLDWD
Model
Lean70%Most probable
2–0
Argentina
Best upset
0–1
Switzerland · 3.8%
AdvantageHArgentina+58pp
Most likely scorelines
2–011.9%
1–010.6%
2–19.6%
P(home / draw / away)70% / 18% / 12%
Expected goals (xG)2.24 – 0.81
18%
Sharpest books1X2vig
Pinnacleeu1.355.2410.732.5%
DraftKingsus1.315.1510.265.5%
Bet365uk1.315.189.905.7%
Unibeteu1.305.2410.205.8%
Sportsbetau1.285.3910.286.4%
bwineu1.295.1310.256.8%
FanDuelus1.285.2410.406.8%
William Hilluk1.295.099.947.2%
+ 1 more books · best price across all shown above
Adjustments
applied to Elo Δ
Hclimate
temperate-climate side in Kansas City summer heat
Aclimate
cold-climate side in Kansas City summer heat
Net Δ effect+10 Elo
Match details
VenueArrowhead StadiumKansas City, USA
Altitude270 m
StageQuarter-final
Result
Final1–1model said Argentina · missed ✗
elo-mc-v1 · 50,000 sims · generated 2026-06-10