Switzerland v Colombia

0–0

Round of 16 · M96·Wed 08 Jul, 00:00·BC Place, Vancouver(1860 v 1900 Elo)

Model vs Market

Model Market

Switzerland

34%

29%

+5.3pp

Draw

26%

27%

−1.1pp

Colombia

40%

44%

−4.2pp

Synthetic market (9 books)

model-derived — add a key for real prices

Switzerland

3.40

best at Pinnacle · eu · 29%

Draw

3.64

best at Pinnacle · eu · 27%

Colombia

2.19

best at Pinnacle · eu · 46%

Market agreement (de-vigged, band = book spread)

Switzerland

29%

Draw

Head-to-head & form

Switzerland wins

draws

Colombia wins

Last meeting: 1-3 on 2007-03-25.

Switzerland — last 5

DLDWD

Colombia — last 5

WLLWW

Model

Toss-up40%

Most probable

1–1

Colombia

Best upset

1–0

Switzerland · 8.6%

AdvantageToo close to call

Most likely scorelines

1–112.2%

0–19.5%

1–28.7%

P(home / draw / away)34% / 26% / 40%

Expected goals (xG)1.28 – 1.42

Adjustments

applied to Elo Δ

Neutral venue, no climate mismatch — ratings used as-is.

Sharpest books1X2vig

Pinnacleeu3.403.642.192.5%

DraftKingsus3.313.532.135.5%

Bet365uk3.263.582.116.0%

Unibeteu3.213.522.156.1%

Sportsbetau3.173.472.176.4%

FanDuelus3.293.462.106.9%

William Hilluk3.283.342.156.9%

bwineu3.203.592.097.0%

+ 1 more books · best price across all shown above

Switzerland v Colombia

Model vs Market

Synthetic market (9 books)

Head-to-head & form

Model

Adjustments

Match details

Result