Argentina v Egypt

3–2

Round of 16 · M95·Tue 07 Jul, 20:00·Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta(2080 v 1740 Elo)

Model vs Market

Model Market

Argentina

86%

85%

+1.3pp

Draw

10%

12%

−1.8pp

Egypt

+0.5pp

Synthetic market (9 books)

model-derived — add a key for real prices

Argentina

1.15

best at Pinnacle · eu · 87%

Draw

8.64

best at Pinnacle · eu · 12%

Egypt

25.46

best at FanDuel · us · 4%

Market agreement (de-vigged, band = book spread)

Argentina

85%

Draw

12%

Head-to-head & form

Argentina wins

draws

Egypt wins

Last meeting: 2-0 on 2008-03-26.

Argentina — last 5

WWWWW

Egypt — last 5

DWDWL

Model

Strong86%

Most probable

3–0

Argentina

Best upset

0–1

Egypt · 1.5%

AdvantageHArgentina+82pp

Most likely scorelines

3–012.4%

2–012.0%

4–09.6%

P(home / draw / away)86% / 10% / 4%

Expected goals (xG)3.08 – 0.59

Sharpest books1X2vig

Pinnacleeu1.158.6424.832.6%

DraftKingsus1.128.2124.175.6%

Bet365uk1.127.9323.916.1%

Unibeteu1.118.1924.656.4%

Sportsbetau1.118.2424.206.4%

William Hilluk1.117.8324.496.9%

FanDuelus1.108.0825.467.2%

bwineu1.108.1024.197.4%

+ 1 more books · best price across all shown above

Argentina v Egypt

Model vs Market

Synthetic market (9 books)

Head-to-head & form

Model

Adjustments

Match details

Result