Brazil v Norway

1–2

Round of 16 · M91·Mon 06 Jul, 00:00·MetLife Stadium, New York / New Jersey(2020 v 1880 Elo)

Model vs Market

Model Market

Brazil

56%

63%

−7.0pp

Draw

23%

22%

+1.1pp

Norway

21%

15%

+5.9pp

Synthetic market (9 books)

model-derived — add a key for real prices

Brazil

1.55

best at Pinnacle · eu · 65%

Draw

4.44

best at Pinnacle · eu · 23%

Norway

6.46

best at Pinnacle · eu · 15%

Market agreement (de-vigged, band = book spread)

Brazil

63%

Draw

22%

Head-to-head & form

Brazil wins

draws

Norway wins

Last meeting: 1-1 on 2006-08-16.

Brazil — last 5

DLWWW

Norway — last 5

WLDWD

Model

Lean56%

Most probable

1–1

Brazil

Best upset

0–1

Norway · 6.1%

AdvantageHBrazil+34pp

Most likely scorelines

1–111.0%

1–010.8%

2–19.8%

P(home / draw / away)56% / 23% / 21%

Expected goals (xG)1.80 – 1.02

Adjustments

Sharpest books1X2vig

Pinnacleeu1.554.446.462.5%

DraftKingsus1.504.366.215.7%

Unibeteu1.524.206.175.8%

Bet365uk1.504.326.146.1%

Sportsbetau1.504.216.166.7%

FanDuelus1.504.176.186.8%

bwineu1.494.266.097.0%

William Hilluk1.494.096.397.2%

+ 1 more books · best price across all shown above

Brazil v Norway

Model vs Market

Synthetic market (9 books)

Head-to-head & form

Model

Adjustments

Match details

Result