Canada v Morocco

0–3

Round of 16 · M90·Sat 04 Jul, 21:00·NRG Stadium, Houston(1760 v 1920 Elo)

Model vs Market

Model Market

Canada

13%

−0.1pp

Draw

19%

21%

−2.5pp

Morocco

69%

66%

+2.7pp

Synthetic market (9 books)

model-derived — add a key for real prices

Canada

7.71

best at Pinnacle · eu · 13%

Draw

4.61

best at Pinnacle · eu · 22%

Morocco

1.47

best at Pinnacle · eu · 68%

Market agreement (de-vigged, band = book spread)

Canada

13%

Draw

21%

Head-to-head & form

Canada wins

draws

Morocco wins

Last meeting: 1-2 on 2022-12-01.

Canada — last 5

WDDWD

Morocco — last 5

DWWWD

Model

Lean69%

Most probable

0–2

Morocco

Best upset

1–0

Canada · 4.0%

AdvantageAMorocco+56pp

Most likely scorelines

0–211.7%

0–110.6%

1–29.7%

P(home / draw / away)13% / 19% / 69%

Expected goals (xG)0.83 – 2.20

Adjustments

Sharpest books1X2vig

Pinnacleeu7.714.611.472.7%

DraftKingsus7.204.471.445.7%

Bet365uk7.184.521.436.0%

Unibeteu7.114.541.436.0%

Sportsbetau7.414.501.416.6%

William Hilluk7.024.531.426.7%

bwineu7.374.461.416.9%

FanDuelus7.274.301.436.9%

+ 1 more books · best price across all shown above

Canada v Morocco

Model vs Market

Synthetic market (9 books)

Head-to-head & form

Model

Adjustments

Match details

Result