Switzerland v Algeria

2–0

Round of 32 · M85·Fri 03 Jul, 07:00·BC Place, Vancouver(1860 v 1760 Elo)

Model vs Market

Model Market

Switzerland

62%

54%

EDGE +8.7pp

Draw

21%

25%

−4.2pp

Algeria

17%

21%

−4.5pp

Synthetic market (9 books)

model-derived — add a key for real prices

Switzerland

1.80

best at Pinnacle · eu · 56%

Draw

3.85

best at Pinnacle · eu · 26%

Algeria

4.78

best at Pinnacle · eu · 21%

Market agreement (de-vigged, band = book spread)

Switzerland

54%

Draw

Head-to-head & form

Switzerland wins

draws

Algeria wins

Last meeting: 2-0 on 1986-05-06.

Switzerland — last 5

DLDWD

Algeria — last 5

LWDWW

Model

Lean62%

Most probable

1–0

Switzerland

Best upset

0–1

Algeria · 5.0%

AdvantageHSwitzerland+46pp

Most likely scorelines

1–010.9%

2–010.8%

1–110.0%

P(home / draw / away)62% / 21% / 17%

Expected goals (xG)2.00 – 0.92

Sharpest books1X2vig

Pinnacleeu1.803.854.782.5%

DraftKingsus1.773.834.375.5%

Bet365uk1.773.654.536.0%

Unibeteu1.743.824.486.0%

Sportsbetau1.763.724.396.5%

FanDuelus1.723.764.516.9%

bwineu1.753.674.446.9%

William Hilluk1.743.724.417.0%

+ 1 more books · best price across all shown above

Switzerland v Algeria

Model vs Market

Synthetic market (9 books)

Head-to-head & form

Model

Adjustments

Match details

Result