USA v Bosnia

2–0

Round of 32 · M81·Thu 02 Jul, 04:00·Levi's Stadium, San Francisco Bay Area(1800 v 1690 Elo)

Model vs Market

Model Market

USA

66%

+0.3pp

Draw

20%

21%

−1.4pp

Bosnia

14%

13%

+1.1pp

Synthetic market (9 books)

model-derived — add a key for real prices

USA

1.49

best at Pinnacle · eu · 67%

Draw

4.55

best at William Hill · uk · 22%

Bosnia

7.43

best at Pinnacle · eu · 13%

Market agreement (de-vigged, band = book spread)

USA

66%

Draw

21%

Head-to-head & form

USA wins

draws

Bosnia wins

Last meeting: 1-0 on 2021-12-18.

USA — last 5

WLLWL

Bosnia — last 5

DDDDD

Model

Lean66%

Most probable

2–0

USA

Best upset

0–1

Bosnia · 4.4%

AdvantageHUSA+52pp

Most likely scorelines

2–011.4%

1–010.8%

2–19.8%

P(home / draw / away)66% / 20% / 14%

Expected goals (xG)2.11 – 0.87

Adjustments

Sharpest books1X2vig

Pinnacleeu1.494.547.432.6%

DraftKingsus1.474.327.005.5%

Unibeteu1.454.357.255.7%

Bet365uk1.444.487.145.8%

Sportsbetau1.434.457.026.6%

bwineu1.414.527.167.0%

FanDuelus1.434.297.267.0%

William Hilluk1.404.557.237.2%

+ 1 more books · best price across all shown above

USA v Bosnia

Model vs Market

Synthetic market (9 books)

Head-to-head & form

Model

Adjustments

Match details

Result