Ivory Coast v Norway

1–2

Round of 32 · M78·Tue 30 Jun, 21:00·AT&T Stadium, Dallas(1730 v 1880 Elo)

Model vs Market

Model Market

Ivory Coast

16%

18%

−1.3pp

Draw

21%

24%

−3.0pp

Norway

63%

58%

+4.4pp

Synthetic market (9 books)

model-derived — add a key for real prices

Ivory Coast

5.48

best at Unibet · eu · 18%

Draw

4.07

best at DraftKings · us · 25%

Norway

1.69

best at Pinnacle · eu · 59%

Market agreement (de-vigged, band = book spread)

Ivory Coast

18%

Draw

Head-to-head & form

First senior meeting between these sides.

Ivory Coast — last 5

WLWWW

Norway — last 5

WLDWD

Model

Lean63%

Most probable

0–2

Norway

Best upset

1–0

Ivory Coast · 4.9%

AdvantageANorway+46pp

Most likely scorelines

0–210.9%

0–110.9%

1–29.9%

P(home / draw / away)16% / 21% / 63%

Expected goals (xG)0.91 – 2.00

Adjustments

Sharpest books1X2vig

Pinnacleeu5.424.011.692.6%

DraftKingsus5.254.071.625.3%

Unibeteu5.483.851.626.0%

Bet365uk5.443.911.616.1%

Sportsbetau5.143.981.626.3%

bwineu5.193.801.636.9%

FanDuelus5.303.911.606.9%

William Hilluk5.403.841.607.1%

+ 1 more books · best price across all shown above

Ivory Coast v Norway

Model vs Market

Synthetic market (9 books)

Head-to-head & form

Model

Adjustments

Match details

Result